Well, the last full day of campaigning is upon us, and soon we will see the culmination of all the punditry and predictions, the competing political philosophies and the millions upon millions of words. Although some recent polls have shown McCain picking up ground nationwide and in Pennsylvania in particular, where McCain is hoping he can pull an upset victory and offset Obama’s success in red states like Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado and Virginia. However, the most recent numbers out of PA show Obama with 5 to 8 point leads. To me the McCain campaign is harboring false hope in Pennsylvania. The massive registration of voters in urban Philadelphia will almost undoubtedly overwhelm any last minute shift to McCain by swing voters in rural and suburban areas. For McCain to win, he’ll have to swing over tons of Kerry voters from 2004 — which means that literally hundreds of thousands of Democrat-leaning voters will have to switch in perhaps the most anti-Republican election since Watergate. McCain would be better suited trying to appeal to Coloradans and Nevadans, and hoping that Virginia, Ohio and Florida fall in the right places. There may be votes to be swayed, but it’s not going to be enough in Pennsylvania. What’s truly amusing is that considerations of Wisconsin as a swing state are considered ancient history now. Obama is now likely looking at a double-digit victory in the Badger State, and I won’t hesitate to say early voting will definitely help achieve that goal. The Times has good articles on the candidates as they come into the final day. It looks like [McCain may be accepting the loss](http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/03/us/politics/03mccain.html?hp) and [Obama is contemplating](http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/03/us/politics/03obama.html?hp) the challenges ahead. And of course, [the GOP is facing a massive Democratic tide in Senate and House races](http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/03/us/politics/03cong.html?hp), with candidates in solidly red states like Idaho and Mississippi facing unexpected competition in the wake of economic downturn.
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The last day of campaigning
by Jack Craver
November 3, 2008
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