Poll after poll is showing Barack Obama pulling away in crucial swing states, as well as traditionally Republican states that John McCain’s chances for victory are reliant on. Two separate polls have now shown Obama with crushing leads in New Hampshire, a state won barely by Kerry and lost by just as close a margin by Gore in 2000. McCain has been popular in the state since 2000, when he handily beat George W. Bush in the primary running as a moderate, traditional conservative. [SurveyUSA’s most recent poll ](http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a8255cdc-82a4-4a10-8cf2-063b666e514c)shows Obama leading McCain 53% to 40%, reminiscent of course of the enormous lead Obama had over Hillary Clinton in the primary there before he lost in a stunning upset. Nevertheless, the Obama campaign seems to have opened even deeper wounds in the McCain campaign by threatening to take North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. [Two polls have shown Obama](http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2008/10/obama-emerges-ahead-in-ohio/) with six and seven point leads in the Buckeye state, which of course could have swung the election to Kerry four years ago. A

(http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/10/06/ppp_poll_obama_expands_lead_in_north_carolina.html) signals an alarming shift toward Obama’s favor, with the Illinois senator ahead of McCain by six points. But perhaps the most shocking development is the lopsided results coming out of Virginia. [Two polls show Obama with double-digit leads](http://suffolk.edu/31220.html) in a state that has not voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1964. These polls could indicate relatively superficial mood swings based on recent events surrounding the bailout, and I find it hard to believe that whites will vote as enthusiastically for Obama as they poll for him, however, some of these leads seem to indicate a coalition too hard to break. Moreover, the American people have likely already made up their judgment on Barack Obama. Support for him in the polls, after he was temporarily down several weeks ago, does not seem to indicate the Obamania of the primaries, but rather, a turn against McCain.