In a state that lost 16,900 manufacturing jobs in the past year
to a changing economy, John Edwards’ appeal should come as
unsurprising. Smooth-talking Southern lawyers play well to the
ears, the face and the palm. Edwards’ style and substance, a
fascinating meld of Bill Clinton’s new Democrat and rhetorical
skills that evoke the memory of John F. Kennedy, held sway in a
state where the term “Democrat” is synonymous with blue-collar
protectionism and an optimistic outlook. Edwards’ populist appeals
to rid the country of “two Americas” injected faint new life into
what had been a stagnant race last night with Wisconsin up to bat
in the nation’s primary lineup.
Exit polls from several major news organizations all indicate
that educated Democrats, those who take an optimistic view of the
economy and especially those who made late decisions about whom to
support — a clear sign of successful retail politics — went for
Edwards. Kerry supporters represented liberals and classical
Democrats, while Dean’s meager support was drawn heavily from Dane
County — he picked up 37 percent in Madison’s student districts
while pulling 18 percent statewide.
The North Carolina senator’s upbeat message drew a striking
contrast to Kerry and Dean during Sunday’s Milwaukee debate, where
most accounts held Kerry to be haggard and aloof. This disposition
is appropriate posturing for a frontrunner to be certain, but the
Badger State isn’t much for Boston Brahmins in the first place —
resemblances between Rib Mountain and Bunker Hill are hard to find
— and Kerry did not dedicate the kind as much time to the state as
did his challengers.
While Kerry’s resume and sound bites continually resonate more
appeal than the rest of the candidates, his lack of charisma in
contrast with Edwards served to keep his closest opponent in the
race. Should this campaign have been contested without the benefit
of television or radio and only in print, one must believe Kerry
would be running away. But on the airwaves, where elections are
ultimately decided, Kerry pales to the charisma and sunny populism
of the former trial attorney.
Wisconsin, put simply, attracts populists in the tradition of
Bob LaFollette, Tony Earl, Tommy Thompson and Russ Feingold. All
are men who bore great individual appeal and bucked just enough of
the establishment to be original without being risky. Gov. Howard
Dean, who stands not so much to the left of the party establishment
but brazenly beneath it, resonates well with the angry and the
idealistic but holds little sway otherwise; as his reflected by his
on-campus support. Wisconsin has never been an angry state.
Last night, television cameras allayed the crackling of Dean’s
voice in his concession speech but failed to convey his tear-filled
eyes, noticeable everyone crowding the Concourse Hotel ballroom.
Dean’s election night gathering was a strikingly somber affair. In
his tearfulness, the former Vermont governor showed a rare glimpse
of pure emotion beyond anger in his entire campaign. Dean rose
before his supporters and spoke with trademark brimstone of pushing
special-interest money out of Washington, securing universally
funded health-care and urging, “Finally, Democrats in Washington
can stand up to the most right-wing president of my lifetime.”
Throughout what may prove to be his final stump speech, the Good
Doctor spoke at length about changing the platform of the
Democratic Party, but made no reference to actually winning the
White House.
In his now-doomed campaign, he under-relied on the establishment
he is still trying to shake up. Special interests, for all their
ills, still fund and ultimately buoy national election efforts.
Dean’s enigma, driven by the Internet and youthful zeal, will be
out of money and out of gas before the week is out.
The campaign quote of the week clearly belonged to Kerry when he
stated that candidates cannot “cherry pick” elections — advice his
opponents literally can no longer afford to take. The fundraising
operation of the Democratic establishment now stands firmly behind
him, as Wisconsin’s leading Democrat, Jim Doyle, stood behind him
at the podium tonight. With the opportunity to slam the race shut,
Edwards stuck his wingtip in the door at the last moment. The
two-man race Edwards has so desperately sought to establish is now
firmly in place.